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核兵器システムへの新興技術の導入 : 抑止・軍備管理への影響と課題
https://doi.org/10.15027/0002040604
https://doi.org/10.15027/0002040604b14ceae5-fc44-49f6-a917-451290e949c1
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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hps_46_57.pdf (1 MB)
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| Item type | デフォルト(1) | |||||||||
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| 公開日 | 2025-05-21 | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | 核兵器システムへの新興技術の導入 : 抑止・軍備管理への影響と課題 | |||||||||
| 言語 | ja | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | Emerging Technologies for Nuclear Weapons Systems: Implications and Challenges for Deterrence and Arms Control | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 作成者 |
戸﨑, 洋史
× 戸﨑, 洋史
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| アクセス権 | ||||||||||
| アクセス権 | open access | |||||||||
| アクセス権URI | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 | |||||||||
| 権利情報 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 権利情報 | Copyright (c) 2025 広島大学平和センター | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | The introduction of emerging technologies into ISR (Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance) and NC3 (Nuclear Command, Control and Communications) could help stabilize deterrence relationships by enhancing the operational speed and information-processing capabilities of nuclear weapons systems. At the same time, however, it also has the potential to destabilize those relationships through strengthened damage-limitation capabilities and greater complexity in decision-making processes. Furthermore, introduction of emerging technologies would increase the risk of inadvertent nuclear use due to, inter alia, misinterpretation, miscalculation or malfunction. To prevent these adverse impacts on deterrence and nuclear risks from becoming a reality, it is essential—before such emerging technologies become more widely integrated into ISR and NC3—to first recognize technology as an “intermediary variable” that can work either to the benefit or detriment of security. This calls for a thorough, multifaceted discussion of how nuclear-armed states plan to utilize these technologies, under what objectives and security strategies, and what operational rules will govern their use both in peacetime and during crises. Building upon these discussions, steps such as clarifying the specifics of “human-in-the-loop” arrangements, designing systems with redundancy and robust cyber defenses, and introducing confidence-building measures will be crucial. Moreover, even amidst the stagnation or regression of arms control and intensifying strategic competition, ongoing efforts—including dialogue and discussion on the use of emerging technologies in nuclear weapons systems, drafting codes of conduct, and implementing confidence-building and transparency measures—could not only help avert inadvertent escalation but also serve as a foothold for the broader revitalization of nuclear arms control. In this regard, exploring potential avenues for dialogue and collaboration on arms control and risk reduction in the context of emerging technologies is an urgent task. | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | 本稿は、トヨタ財団助成事業「先端技術と国際関係」研究会（2020〜2021 年度）での研究、ならびに拙稿「新興技術と核抑止関係」『研究レポート』（日本国際問題研究所）2021 年3 月30 日、https://www.jiia.or.jp/researchreport/post-87.html を骨子としつつ、その後の動向や研究なども踏まえ、改めて書き下ろしたものである。 | |||||||||
| 言語 | ja | |||||||||
| 出版者 | ||||||||||
| 出版者 | 広島大学平和センター | |||||||||
| 言語 | ja | |||||||||
| 出版者 | ||||||||||
| 出版者 | The Center for Peace, Hiroshima University | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | jpn | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | departmental bulletin paper | |||||||||
| 出版タイプ | ||||||||||
| 出版タイプ | VoR | |||||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||||
| ID登録 | 10.15027/0002040604 | |||||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
| 収録物識別子 | ||||||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||||||
| 収録物識別子 | 0386-3565 | |||||||||
| 書誌情報 |
ja : 広島平和科学 en : Hiroshima Peace Science 巻 46, p. 57-79, ページ数 23, 発行日 2025-03 |
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