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“見せかけの相関"を克服するために : 2次偏相関係数のすすめ <論文>
https://doi.org/10.15027/35275
https://doi.org/10.15027/35275adfb56a3-d3f3-42c5-9c43-4baa6bd078e7
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
StudiesInEnvironmentalSciences_8_1.pdf (6.7 MB)
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| Item type | デフォルトアイテムタイプ_（フル）(1) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2023-03-18 | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | “見せかけの相関"を克服するために : 2次偏相関係数のすすめ <論文> | |||||||||
| 言語 | ja | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | Spurious Correlations Revisited : A second-order partial correlation is useful for the test of causal relation among social variables <Articles> | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 作成者 |
日下部, 眞一
× 日下部, 眞一
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| アクセス権 | ||||||||||
| アクセス権 | open access | |||||||||
| アクセス権URI | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 | |||||||||
| 権利情報 | ||||||||||
| 権利情報 | Copyright (c) 2013 Graduate School of Integrated Arts and Sciences, Hiroshima University. All rights reserved. | |||||||||
| 主題 | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Spurious correlation | |||||||||
| 主題 | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Path analysis | |||||||||
| 主題 | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Structural Equation Modeling | |||||||||
| 主題 | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Second-order partial correlation | |||||||||
| 主題 | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Causality | |||||||||
| 主題 | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | NDC | |||||||||
| 主題 | 350 | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述 | Spurious correlations are often induced both in regression analyses using ratio data and in logarithms of these ratio data (Kusakabe 2002a, b, 2011). Path analysis in the present study proves the process for the induction of spurious correlations in regression analysis. Population size always affects social variables, and therefore a correlation in a regression always consists of both direct effects and indirect effects via the population size between the relevant variables. In this sense, neither a per capita value nor a logarithm of per capita can be used in OLS regressions. From these analyses, the following results were elucidated. ① In regression analyses using ratio data or logarithms of these, incorrect results came about in 20% of cases (Table 3). These results show that OLS regressions using ratio data artifi cially induce the incorrect spurious correlation due to indirect effects via the population size. ② Second-order partial correlation is equivalent to the direct effect of the 4-variable recursive model in the structural equation modeling and is highly useful for the test of causality of the variables in question. As an example, the current research critically analyzes the paper by Per Pettersson-Lidbom (2012 in Journal of Public Economics) and the negative correlation found in that paper is shown to be induced by the spurious negative effect due to population size. Finally, I present the Law of Power Function in a broad sence for preventing the fallacious causal relationships between the social variables in the cross-section analyses. | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 出版者 | ||||||||||
| 出版者 | 広島大学大学院総合科学研究科 | |||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | jpn | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | departmental bulletin paper | |||||||||
| 出版タイプ | ||||||||||
| 出版タイプ | VoR | |||||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||||
| ID登録 | 10.15027/35275 | |||||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
| 収録物識別子 | ||||||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||||||
| 収録物識別子 | 1881-7696 | |||||||||
| 収録物識別子 | ||||||||||
| 収録物識別子タイプ | NCID | |||||||||
| 収録物識別子 | AA12198658 | |||||||||
| 開始ページ | ||||||||||
| 開始ページ | 1 | |||||||||
| 書誌情報 |
広島大学大学院総合科学研究科紀要. II, 環境科学研究 Bulletin of the Graduate School of Integrated Arts and Sciences, Hiroshima University. II, Studies in environmental sciences 巻 8, p. 1-16, 発行日 2013-12-31 |
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| 旧ID | 35275 | |||||||||
